Delaware House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lisa Blunt Rochester a 56% chance of winning the Delaware House 2020 primary. Lisa Blunt Rochester won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lisa Blunt Rochester — 56% model odds (won)
  2. Catherine S. Purcell — 44% model odds
  3. Lee Murphy — 0% model odds
  4. David L. Rogers — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts