DC House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eleanor Holmes Norton a 50% chance of winning the DC House 2020 primary. Eleanor Holmes Norton won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Eleanor Holmes Norton — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Natale Lino Stracuzzi — 50% model odds
  3. Patrick # Hynes — 0% model odds
  4. Barbara Washington Franklin — 0% model odds
  5. Omari Musa — 0% model odds
  6. David Krucoff — 0% model odds
  7. Amir Lowery — 0% model odds
  8. John "Recovery" Cheeks — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts