Connecticut House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jahana Hayes an 89% chance of winning the Connecticut House 2020 primary. Jahana Hayes won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jahana Hayes — 89% model odds (won)
2. David X. Sullivan — 11% model odds
3. Jahana Hayes — 0% model odds
4. Bruce W. Walczak — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts