Connecticut House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jim Himes a 50% chance of winning the Connecticut House 2020 primary. Jim Himes won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jim Himes — 50% model odds (won)
2. Brian Merlen — 50% model odds
3. Yusheng Peng — 0% model odds
4. Jonathan Riddle — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts