California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Douglas S. Van Raam a 50% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Douglas S. Van Raam won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Douglas S. Van Raam — 50% model odds (won)
2. James Hinton — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts