Arizona House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Debbie Lesko a 95% chance of winning the Arizona House 2020 primary. Debbie Lesko won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Debbie Lesko — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Michael Muscato — 5% model odds
  3. Taliban Hendrix — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts