Arizona House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ruben Gallego a 100% chance of winning the Arizona House 2020 primary. Ruben Gallego won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ruben Gallego — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Joshua Barnett — 0% model odds
  3. Roxanne Rodriguez — 0% model odds
  4. J. Travis Kirkham — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts