Arizona House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Paul Gosar an 82% chance of winning the Arizona House 2020 primary. Paul Gosar won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Paul Gosar — 82% model odds (won)
2. Delina Disanto — 18% model odds
3. Brett Brennan — 0% model odds
4. Ana Perez Gissy — 0% model odds
5. Miko Jones — 0% model odds
6. Emily Robinson — 0% model odds
7. Don Overholser — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts