California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tom Mcclintock a 50% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Tom Mcclintock won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Tom Mcclintock — 50% model odds (won)
2. Arthur "Art" Moore — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts