Arizona House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rául Grijalva a 100% chance of winning the Arizona House 2020 primary. Rául Grijalva won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Rául Grijalva — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Daniel Wood — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts