Arizona House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ann Kirkpatrick a 67% chance of winning the Arizona House 2020 primary. Ann Kirkpatrick won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ann Kirkpatrick — 67% model odds (won)
  2. Brandon Martin — 33% model odds
  3. Iman Bah — 0% model odds
  4. Brandon Schlass — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts