Alaska Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dan Sullivan a 100% chance of winning the Alaska Senate 2020 primary. Dan Sullivan won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dan Sullivan — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Al Gross — 0% model odds
  3. John Wayne Howe — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts