West Virginia House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Alex X. Mooney a 95% chance of winning the West Virginia House 2018 primary. Alex X. Mooney won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Alex X. Mooney — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Talley Sergent — 5% model odds
  3. Daniel P. "Danny," Jr. Lutz — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts