Wisconsin Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tammy Baldwin a 57% chance of winning the Wisconsin Senate 2018 primary. Tammy Baldwin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tammy Baldwin — 57% model odds (won)
  2. Leah Vukmir — 43% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds
  4. Mary Jo Walters — 0% model odds
  5. John Schiess — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts