Vermont House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Peter Welch a 100% chance of winning the Vermont House 2018 primary. Peter Welch won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Peter Welch — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Anya # Tynio — 0% model odds
  3. Cris Ericson — 0% model odds
  4. Laura S. Potter — 0% model odds
  5. Scattered — 0% model odds
  6. Dan Freilich — 0% model odds
  7. Michael Kell — 0% model odds
  8. Jim Douglas — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts