Virginia Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Timothy M. Kaine an 87% chance of winning the Virginia Senate 2018 primary. Timothy M. Kaine won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Timothy M. Kaine — 87% model odds (won)
  2. Corey A. Stewart — 13% model odds
  3. Matt J. Waters — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts