Virginia House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gerald Edward Connolly a 100% chance of winning the Virginia House 2018 primary. Gerald Edward Connolly won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Gerald Edward Connolly — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Jeff A., Jr. Dove — 0% model odds
  3. Stevan M. Porter — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts