California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jared Huffman a 50% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Jared Huffman won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jared Huffman — 50% model odds (won)
2. Andy Caffrey — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts