California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Doug La Malfa a 50% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Doug La Malfa won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Doug La Malfa — 50% model odds (won)
2. Gregory Cheadle — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts