Texas Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ted Cruz a 73% chance of winning the Texas Senate 2018 primary. Ted Cruz won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ted Cruz — 73% model odds (won)
  2. Beto O'Rourke — 27% model odds
  3. Neal M. Dikeman — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts