Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Colin Allred a 50% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Colin Allred won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Colin Allred — 50% model odds (won)
2. Pete Sessions — 50% model odds
3. Melina Baker — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts