Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Carter a 73% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. John Carter won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Carter — 73% model odds (won)
  2. Mary Jennings "Mj" Hegar — 27% model odds
  3. Jason Hope — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts