Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sylvia R. Garcia a 95% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Sylvia R. Garcia won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sylvia R. Garcia — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Phillip Aronoff — 5% model odds
  3. Cullen Burns — 0% model odds
  4. Johnathan Garza — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts