Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael Cloud a 95% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Michael Cloud won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michael Cloud — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Eric Holguin — 5% model odds
  3. Daniel Tinus — 0% model odds
  4. James Duerr — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts