Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael C. Burgess an 88% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Michael C. Burgess won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michael C. Burgess — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Linsey Fagan — 12% model odds
  3. Mark Boler — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts