Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kenny E. Marchant an 86% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Kenny E. Marchant won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kenny E. Marchant — 86% model odds (won)
  2. Jan Mcdowell — 14% model odds
  3. Mike Kolls — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts