Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Will Hurd a 56% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Will Hurd won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Will Hurd — 56% model odds (won)
  2. Gina Ortiz Jones — 44% model odds
  3. Rubén Corvalán — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts