Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chip Roy an 88% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Chip Roy won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chip Roy — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Joseph Kopser — 12% model odds
  3. Lee Santos — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts