Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bill Flores an 88% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Bill Flores won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bill Flores — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Rick Kennedy — 12% model odds
  3. Peter Churchman — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts