Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Conaway a 95% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Mike Conaway won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mike Conaway — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Jennie Lou Leeder — 5% model odds
  3. Rhett Rosenquest Smith — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts