Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael T. Mccaul an 88% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Michael T. Mccaul won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michael T. Mccaul — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Mike Siegel — 12% model odds
  3. Mike Ryan — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts