Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lizzie Pannill Fletcher a 67% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Lizzie Pannill Fletcher won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lizzie Pannill Fletcher — 67% model odds (won)
  2. John Culberson — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts