Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lance Gooden a 95% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Lance Gooden won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lance Gooden — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Dan Wood — 5% model odds
  3. Phil Gray — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts