Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Ratcliffe a 95% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. John Ratcliffe won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Ratcliffe — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Catherine Krantz — 5% model odds
  3. Ken Ashby — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts