Texas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dan Crenshaw an 87% chance of winning the Texas House 2018 primary. Dan Crenshaw won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dan Crenshaw — 87% model odds (won)
  2. Todd Litton — 13% model odds
  3. Patrick Gunnels — 0% model odds
  4. Scott Cubbler — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts