Tennessee Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Marsha Blackburn an 82% chance of winning the Tennessee Senate 2018 primary. Marsha Blackburn won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Marsha Blackburn — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Phil Bredesen — 18% model odds
  3. Trudy A. Austin — 0% model odds
  4. Dean Hill — 0% model odds
  5. Kris L. Todd — 0% model odds
  6. John Carico — 0% model odds
  7. Breton Phillips — 0% model odds
  8. Kevin Lee Mccants — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts