Tennessee House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Kustoff an 88% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2018 primary. David Kustoff won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. David Kustoff — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Erika Stotts Pearson — 12% model odds
  3. James Hart — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts