Tennessee House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Rose a 95% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2018 primary. John Rose won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John Rose — 95% model odds (won)
2. Dawn Barlow — 5% model odds
3. David Ross — 0% model odds
4. Lloyd Dunn — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts