Tennessee House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scott Desjarlais an 89% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2018 primary. Scott Desjarlais won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Scott Desjarlais — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Mariah Phillips — 11% model odds
  3. Michael Shupe — 0% model odds
  4. Russell Wayne Steele — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts