Arizona House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Trent Franks a 95% chance of winning the Arizona House 2014 primary. Trent Franks won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Trent Franks — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Clair Van Steenwyk — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts