South Dakota House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dustin "Dusty" Johnson a 95% chance of winning the South Dakota House 2018 primary. Dustin "Dusty" Johnson won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Dustin "Dusty" Johnson — 95% model odds (won)
2. Tim Bjorkman — 5% model odds
3. Ron Wieczorek — 0% model odds
4. George D. Hendrickson — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts