Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Conor Lamb an 89% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Conor Lamb won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Conor Lamb — 89% model odds (won)
2. Keith Rothfus — 11% model odds
3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts