Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Kelly a 56% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Mike Kelly won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mike Kelly — 56% model odds (won)
  2. Ron Dinicola — 44% model odds
  3. Ebert G. "Bill" Beeman — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts