Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Guy Reschenthaler an 89% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Guy Reschenthaler won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Guy Reschenthaler — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Bibiana Boerio — 11% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts