Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tom Marino a 56% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Tom Marino won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tom Marino — 56% model odds (won)
  2. Marc Friedenberg — 44% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts