Arizona House 2014 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave José Peñalosa a 40% chance of winning the Arizona House 2014 primary. Rebecca Dewitt won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- José Peñalosa — 40% model odds
- Rebecca Dewitt — 15% model odds (won)
- Gary Dunn — 15% model odds
- Gustavo Ortega — 15% model odds
- Samuel Esquivel — 15% model odds