Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lloyd K. Smucker an 81% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Lloyd K. Smucker won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lloyd K. Smucker — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Jess King — 19% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts