Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scott Perry a 57% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Scott Perry won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Scott Perry — 57% model odds (won)
  2. George Scott — 43% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts