Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Matt Cartwright a 56% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Matt Cartwright won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Matt Cartwright — 56% model odds (won)
  2. John Chrin — 44% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts