Pennsylvania House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dwight Evans a 95% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2018 primary. Dwight Evans won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dwight Evans — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Bryan E. Leib — 5% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts